Skip to content
Neighborhood · Falcon Heights, MN

Snelling West Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 9,163 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.2–5.3

Snelling West takes in 3 census tracts of Falcon Heights, MN and houses 9,163 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Falcon Heights rate of 31.2%.

33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.2 to 5.3. A 2.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. Court records carry 113 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.5/10.

SNAP participation is 5.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 2.4% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.2% of adults, 8.6 points below the national rate.

Judgments average 0.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Rent takes 15% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Snelling West vs Falcon Heights How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.9% +73%
Falcon Heights: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,264 +5%
Falcon Heights: $1,202
Average HH income
$98,878 +6%
Falcon Heights: $93,233
Poverty rate
6.6% -15%
Falcon Heights: 7.8%
Renter share
34.4% -19%
Falcon Heights: 42.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Snelling West and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.2–5.3

Why Snelling West scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.7–4.3 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 6.9–8.2 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.6 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
6.6% below poverty line · Range 1.1–3.3 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–4.2 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Snelling West vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Snelling West score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Snelling WestNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Snelling West?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 3.2 to 5.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Snelling West

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123042001 5.3 1,808 42% $1,145
27123041301 3.4 3,931 51% $1,075
27123041900 3.2 3,424 63% $1,543
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Snelling West

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 113Total filings (sum)
  • 1.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.78%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 217Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly observed
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.16×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Snelling West

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Snelling West

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Snelling West?

Snelling West scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Snelling West compare to Falcon Heights overall?

Snelling West scores 0.9 points lower than Falcon Heights overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,264 vs $1,202.
Q3

What is the average rent in Snelling West?

Average gross rent in Snelling West is $1,264/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Snelling West residents are renters?

34% of Snelling West households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Falcon Heights). The neighborhood has 9,163 residents.
Q5

Is Snelling West a high social-vulnerability area?

Snelling West sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Snelling West have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Snelling West is census tract 27123042001 (score 5.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 5.3, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Snelling West for landlords?

Snelling West carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Falcon Heights as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Snelling West?

Snelling West has 9,021 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Snelling West

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further