Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Snelling West Eviction Risk: Lower , Falcon Heights
Tract 27123041301 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,931 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
The Snelling West area of Falcon Heights is where census tract 27123041301 sits, home to 3,931 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,075 monthly, set against $95,813 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,681
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$95,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Falcon Heights and the region
Centroid at 45.0042, -93.1809 · click any tract to drill in
Why Snelling West scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Falcon Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,075 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Falcon Heights
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Falcon Heights
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Falcon Heights
5.4
How Snelling West compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 49Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.4%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 69Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.09×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Snelling West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Snelling West
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Falcon Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.4% of renter households in 2012.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041301?
Census tract 27123041301 in the Snelling West neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041301?
Median gross rent is $1,075/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041301?
4.5% of residents in tract 27123041301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,931.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 45th, minority 45th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 27123041301 considered part of Snelling West?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123041301 fall within Snelling West (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.67% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123041301 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123041301 compare to Falcon Heights overall?
Tract 27123041301 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Falcon Heights at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Falcon Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Falcon Heights
Top eight tracts in Falcon Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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