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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Roseville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27123041500 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,545

Tract 27123041500 sits in Roseville eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.1/10. Population here is 5,545. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 9% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,385
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$116,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Roseville
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#131 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Very Low
Within state
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#1,180 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roseville and the region

Centroid at 45.0279, -93.1267 · click any tract to drill in

Why Roseville scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roseville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,807 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roseville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roseville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roseville
5.4

How Roseville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Roseville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0415004.5Rosevilleparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 17Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 0.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2009)
  • 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27123041500
Filings dropped 80% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 81Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Roseville

It sits 2.5 points below the Ramsey County average of 5.6. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,807, 32% above the Roseville average. Cost burden runs 40% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 3.8% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

Court records carry 17 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2009, when 1.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123041500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041500?

Census tract 27123041500 in Roseville scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123041500?

Median gross rent is $1,807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041500?

2.4% of residents in tract 27123041500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,545.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 42th, minority 35th, housing 57th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 27123041500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.65% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27123041500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27123041500 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27123041500 compare to Roseville overall?

Tract 27123041500 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Roseville at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roseville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roseville

Top eight tracts in Roseville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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