Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Roseville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123041302 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,577
The Elevated-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 27123041302 reflects conditions in Roseville, Minnesota. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,629 a month while the average household earns $66,727 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,802
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$66,727
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roseville and the region
Centroid at 45.0324, -93.1900 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseville scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roseville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,629 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roseville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roseville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roseville
5.4
How Roseville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 40Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2009)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 142Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 4.12×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseville
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roseville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 4.12x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 40 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 0.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.0% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041302?
Census tract 27123041302 in Roseville scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041302?
Median gross rent is $1,629/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041302?
15.6% of residents in tract 27123041302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,577.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 39th, minority 39th, housing 82th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.83% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041302 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 4.12× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041302 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041302 compare to Roseville overall?
Tract 27123041302 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Roseville at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roseville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roseville
Top eight tracts in Roseville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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