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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

White Bear Lake Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27123040102 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,424 · 4% of tract blocks fall in White Bear Lake

27123040102 is a census tract in White Bear Lake, MN. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,424. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.5 points.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,590
Renter share2.2%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$158,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In White Bear Lake
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#129 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Very Low
Within state
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#1,180 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across White Bear Lake and the region

Centroid at 45.1151, -93.0094 · click any tract to drill in

Why White Bear Lake scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from White Bear Lake
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from White Bear Lake
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from White Bear Lake
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from White Bear Lake
5.4

How White Bear Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
White Bear Lake risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0401024.5White Bear Lakeparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 11Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.49×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in White Bear Lake

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123040102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040102?

Census tract 27123040102 in White Bear Lake scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040102?

2.2% of residents in tract 27123040102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,424.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 41th, minority 15th, housing 42th.
Q4

Did eviction filings in tract 27123040102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27123040102 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27123040102 compare to White Bear Lake overall?

Tract 27123040102 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of White Bear Lake at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from White Bear Lake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in White Bear Lake

Top eight tracts in White Bear Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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