Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
North St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123042601 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,686
Census tract 27123042601 covers part of North St. Paul, MN, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Ramsey County average of 47.3%.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,662
Renter share40.3%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$74,706
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across North St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 45.0196, -93.0037 · click any tract to drill in
Why North St. Paul scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,342 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from North St. Paul
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North St. Paul
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from North St. Paul
4.4
How North St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 323Total filings over 7 yrs
- 7.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2014)
- 49Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 290Total filings 2020-21
- 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.20×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 11.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North St. Paul
23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is local political climate at 7.5/10.
It sits 1.4 points below the Ramsey County average of 5.6. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
Court records carry 323 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Running cool, economic stress reads 3/10.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 8.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,342, close to the North St. Paul average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $74,706. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123042601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042601?
Census tract 27123042601 in North St. Paul scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123042601?
Median gross rent is $1,342/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042601?
12.1% of residents in tract 27123042601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,686.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 82th, minority 60th, housing 83th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 323 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.43% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123042601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123042601 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123042601 compare to North St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123042601 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of North St. Paul at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in North St. Paul
Top eight tracts in North St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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