Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
North St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123042602 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,115
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 27123042602 (North St. Paul, Minnesota) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #39,497 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,115 monthly, set against $87,628 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units912
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$87,628
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across North St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 45.0189, -92.9910 · click any tract to drill in
Why North St. Paul scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North St. Paul
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,115 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from North St. Paul
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North St. Paul
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from North St. Paul
4.4
How North St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 113Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2009)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 58% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 41Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North St. Paul
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 4.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from North St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123042602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042602?
Census tract 27123042602 in North St. Paul scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123042602?
Median gross rent is $1,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042602?
15.4% of residents in tract 27123042602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,115.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 87th, minority 40th, housing 97th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 113 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.21% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123042602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123042602 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123042602 compare to North St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123042602 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of North St. Paul at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in North St. Paul
Top eight tracts in North St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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