Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Roseville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123041500 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,545
In Roseville, census tract 27123041500 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,807 a month against an average household income of $116,917 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,385
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$116,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
National
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roseville and the region
Centroid at 45.0279, -93.1267 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseville scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roseville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,807 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roseville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roseville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roseville
5.4
How Roseville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 6 yrs
- 0.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.1%Peak (2009)
- 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 80% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 81Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.7%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseville
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roseville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 0.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.1% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041500?
Census tract 27123041500 in Roseville scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041500?
Median gross rent is $1,807/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041500?
2.4% of residents in tract 27123041500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,545.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 42th, minority 35th, housing 57th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 27123041500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.65% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041500 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041500 compare to Roseville overall?
Tract 27123041500 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Roseville at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roseville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roseville
Top eight tracts in Roseville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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