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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Greater East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul

Tract 27123030702 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,173 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 27123030702 covers part of the Greater East Side area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,173. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 9% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,815
Renter share13.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$90,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Greater East Side
Very Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#74 of 85 tracts In St. Paul
Very Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#77 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Moderate
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#283 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9856, -93.0128 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greater East Side scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,720 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5

How Greater East Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greater East Side risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0307026.5St. Paulparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 141Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.3%Peak (2012)
  • 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27123030702
Filings dropped 22% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 38Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greater East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greater East Side

At $1,720 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of St. Paul commands. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Cost burden runs 36% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 141 filings here across 7 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 8.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123030702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123030702?

Census tract 27123030702 in the Greater East Side neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123030702?

Median gross rent is $1,720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123030702?

5.1% of residents in tract 27123030702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,173.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123030702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 89th, minority 73th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 27123030702 considered part of Greater East Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123030702 fall within Greater East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123030702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123030702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.35% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27123030702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27123030702 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27123030702 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123030702 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27123030702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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