Greater East Side Eviction Risk: Elevated
2 census tracts · pop 10,678 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 5.6–7.8
Greater East Side takes in 2 census tracts of St. Paul, MN and houses 10,678 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.5/10, Elevated tier. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.
39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the St. Paul rate of 30.0%. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.6 to 7.8, a 2.2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
At $1,493 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of St. Paul commands. Filings are well documented here: 483 across 2 observed tracts. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 10.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.8% in 2015, is well off that peak. That places it #16 of 23 neighborhoods in St. Paul.
For a like-for-like read, Shadow Falls and Snelling - Hamline score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $83,407.
31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across Greater East Side and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.6–7.8
Why Greater East Side scores 6.5
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyGreater East Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
2 tracts in Greater East Side
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27123030704 | 7.8 | 4,505 | 43% | $1,183 |
| 27123030702 | 5.6 | 6,173 | 36% | $1,720 |
CDC SVI percentile: 74
Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Greater East Side
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 483Total filings (sum)
- 6.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.9%Peak year (2012)
- 4.85%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 352Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly observed
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.77×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Greater East Side
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility shutoff threat
- 21.0%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 28.6%Any disability
About Greater East Side
How does Greater East Side compare to St. Paul overall?
What is the average rent in Greater East Side?
What percentage of Greater East Side residents are renters?
Is Greater East Side a high social-vulnerability area?
Which tracts in Greater East Side have the highest eviction risk?
How safe is Greater East Side for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of Greater East Side?
Other neighborhoods near Greater East Side
Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Greater East Side.