Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Vadnais Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123040605 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,682 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Vadnais Heights
Census tract 27123040605 belongs to Vadnais Heights in Ramsey County, Minnesota. It is home to 3,682 residents and scores 4.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 29% of US census tracts.
About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $685 a month against an average household income of $100,625 a year, roughly 8% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,541
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$100,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
National
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vadnais Heights and the region
Centroid at 45.0553, -93.0813 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vadnais Heights scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$685 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
5.5
How Vadnais Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 38Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vadnais Heights
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Vadnais Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.60x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040605?
Census tract 27123040605 in Vadnais Heights scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040605?
Median gross rent is $685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040605?
5.1% of residents in tract 27123040605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 33th, minority 24th, housing 57th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040605 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27123040605 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27123040605 compare to Vadnais Heights overall?
Tract 27123040605 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Vadnais Heights at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vadnais Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vadnais Heights
Top eight tracts in Vadnais Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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