Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Vadnais Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123040606 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,321 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Vadnais Heights
Census tract 27123040606 covers Vadnais Heights, home to 3,321 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,352 monthly, set against $61,688 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,699
Renter share47.6%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$61,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Vadnais Heights and the region
Centroid at 45.0446, -93.0425 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vadnais Heights scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,352 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vadnais Heights
5.5
How Vadnais Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 112Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.9%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vadnais Heights
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Vadnais Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.84x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040606
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040606?
Census tract 27123040606 in Vadnais Heights scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040606?
Median gross rent is $1,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040606?
11.6% of residents in tract 27123040606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,321.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040606?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 63th, minority 59th, housing 61th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040606 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27123040606 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27123040606 compare to Vadnais Heights overall?
Tract 27123040606 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Vadnais Heights at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vadnais Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Vadnais Heights
Top eight tracts in Vadnais Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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