Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Natchez Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 28001000700 · Adams County, MS · pop 1,376 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
28001000700 is a census tract in the Natchez Historic District area of Natchez, MS. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units608
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$68,409
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Natchez and the region
Centroid at 31.5558, -91.4052 · click any tract to drill in
Why Natchez Historic District scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Natchez
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Mississippi legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$691 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Natchez
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Natchez
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Natchez
8.1
How Natchez Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Natchez Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 39.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Natchez Historic District
51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Adams County average of 35.8%. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Against the Adams County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
At $691 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Natchez commands. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $68,409, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 28001000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 28001000700?
Census tract 28001000700 in the Natchez Historic District neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 28001000700?
Median gross rent is $691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 28001000700?
17.3% of residents in tract 28001000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,376.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 28001000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 79th, minority 64th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 28001000700 considered part of Natchez Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 28001000700 fall within Natchez Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 28001000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 28001000700 compare to Natchez overall?
Tract 28001000700 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Natchez at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Natchez eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Natchez
Top eight tracts in Natchez ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MS
28001000400
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MS
Natchez Historic District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MS
28001000800
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MS
28001000600
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MS
28001000200
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MS
28001000102
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MS
28001000101
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MS
28001000900
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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