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Jefferson City, Missouri eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,639 of 1,865 nationally

Jefferson City, MO Eviction Risk: LOW

Cole County · Population 42,488

In 2026
Risk score
2.7
LOW

59th percentile, Missouri.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average2.4 Now2.7
10 5 1976 · score 2.2 1977 · score 2.2 1978 · score 2.2 1979 · score 2.2 1980 · score 2.0 1981 · score 2.0 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 2.0 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 2.1 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.2 1991 · score 2.2 1992 · score 2.7 1993 · score 2.7 1994 · score 2.7 1995 · score 2.7 1996 · score 2.6 1997 · score 2.6 1998 · score 2.6 1999 · score 2.7 2000 · score 2.3 2001 · score 2.3 2002 · score 2.4 2003 · score 2.4 2004 · score 2.2 2005 · score 2.2 2006 · score 2.2 2007 · score 2.3 2008 · score 2.7 2009 · score 2.7 2010 · score 2.8 2011 · score 2.8 2012 · score 2.5 2013 · score 2.5 2014 · score 2.5 2015 · score 2.6 2016 · score 2.4 2017 · score 2.5 2018 · score 2.5 2019 · score 2.6 2020 · score 3.0 2021 · score 3.0 2022 · score 3.0 2023 · score 3.0 2024 · score 2.9 2025 · score 3.7 2026 · score 2.7

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from constituent census tracts, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.0 Regional 4.0 State 2.1 Economic 5.3 Supply 3.7 Rent Control 1.4 Eviction 2.4 Tenant 2.6 Housing 2.7 2.7 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +34.4% (2024)
    4.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.0
  3. State political climate
    Missouri legislature & governorship
    2.1
  4. Economic stress
    11.9% poverty · 1.4% unemp.
    5.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $802 average · 40.8% renters
    3.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    24.2% of income on rent
    1.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    36 days filing → judgment
    2.4
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    40.8% renters
    2.6
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jefferson City and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Jefferson City compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Cole County
Moderate
#6 of 10 cities
Rank in county, 44th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 10 cities in Cole County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Missouri
Elevated
#477 of 1,082 cities
Rank in state, 56th percentileBottomTop
#477 of 1,082 cities in Missouri for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Jefferson City risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Jefferson City: 2.72.7Jefferson CityThis cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.7
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.7/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 36d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $802/mo. A contested eviction takes 36 days and costs $1,178-$3,479 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 40.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 42,488 residents, 40.8% rent. 24% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 11.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4 and 4 (GOP margin +34.4% (2024)). State climate at 2.1, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.1
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.1/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 2.4, housing court bias 2.7, rent-control risk 1.4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.6 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.3. Supply constraint: 3.7. The numbers behind those: 11.9% poverty, 1.4% unemployment, 24% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Jefferson City sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Columbia, MO · 42d · ~$4.4k all-in ($104/day) · score 3.5 Columbia Kansas City, MO · 40d · ~$2.5k all-in ($63/day) · score 4.7 Kansas City St. Louis, MO · 43d · ~$2.4k all-in ($56/day) · score 5.4 St. Louis Springfield, MO · 38d · ~$3.8k all-in ($99/day) · score 2.8 Springfield Independence, MO · 43d · ~$2.3k all-in ($52/day) · score 5.3 Independence Lee's Summit, MO · 41d · ~$2.4k all-in ($59/day) · score 5.2 Lee's Summit O'Fallon, MO · 37d · ~$2.2k all-in ($60/day) · score 3.7 O'Fallon St. Charles, MO · 36d · ~$2.5k all-in ($68/day) · score 3.3 St. Charles St. Joseph, MO · 41d · ~$2.3k all-in ($57/day) · score 3.1 St. Joseph Blue Springs, MO · 37d · ~$2.5k all-in ($67/day) · score 5.1 Blue Springs Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Jefferson City
Jefferson City · 36d · ~$2.3k all-in ($65/day) · score 2.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Jefferson City, MO

Landlording in Jefferson City, Missouri, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.7/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Jefferson City is a city of 42,488 residents where 40.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 24.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $802/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Jefferson City eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 2.4/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Jefferson City closes 36 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Jefferson City's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Jefferson City runs $1,178 to $3,479 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 36 days of typical timeline and $802/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.6/10 in Jefferson City, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Missouri, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Jefferson City: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Missouri's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,479 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Jefferson City

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 36 days and roughly $3,479 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,391 to $2,087 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under RSMo 535.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 3,285 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.88× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 44,239 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 244,075.

  • 3,285Past month
  • 44,239Past 12 months
  • 0.88×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 18.2%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least ten days notice (for nonpayment of rent cases, though in other cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $33.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 - 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 4,308 filings (1.04× hist)2023-06-01: 4,368 filings (1.09× hist)2023-07-01: 4,067 filings (0.98× hist)2023-08-01: 4,271 filings (1.01× hist)2023-09-01: 4,134 filings (1.03× hist)2023-10-01: 4,557 filings (1.07× hist)2023-11-01: 3,861 filings (1.05× hist)2023-12-01: 3,321 filings (0.95× hist)2024-01-01: 4,075 filings (1.04× hist)2024-02-01: 3,910 filings (0.99× hist)2024-03-01: 3,376 filings (0.89× hist)2024-04-01: 3,563 filings (0.96× hist)2024-05-01: 3,991 filings (0.96× hist)2024-06-01: 3,667 filings (0.91× hist)2024-07-01: 4,247 filings (1.02× hist)2024-08-01: 4,204 filings (0.99× hist)2024-09-01: 3,903 filings (0.97× hist)2024-10-01: 3,988 filings (0.93× hist)2024-11-01: 3,506 filings (0.95× hist)2024-12-01: 3,675 filings (1.05× hist)2025-01-01: 4,255 filings (1.09× hist)2025-02-01: 3,552 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 3,234 filings (0.85× hist)2025-04-01: 3,700 filings (1.00× hist)2025-05-01: 3,658 filings (0.88× hist)2025-06-01: 3,488 filings (0.87× hist)2025-07-01: 4,442 filings (1.07× hist)2025-08-01: 3,869 filings (0.91× hist)2025-09-01: 3,990 filings (0.99× hist)2025-10-01: 3,771 filings (0.88× hist)2025-11-01: 3,265 filings (0.89× hist)2025-12-01: 3,493 filings (1.00× hist)2026-01-01: 3,667 filings (0.94× hist)2026-02-01: 3,715 filings (0.96× hist)2026-03-01: 3,596 filings (0.95× hist)2026-04-01: 3,285 filings (0.88× hist)
Filings dropped 10% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I change the locks immediately if my tenant doesn't pay rent?

Absolutely not. That's considered a "self-help" eviction and is illegal in Missouri. You must follow the formal eviction process through the courts. Changing locks, shutting off utilities, or removing a tenant's belongings can lead to serious legal penalties against you.

Q2

How much notice do I need to give if I want a tenant to move out, but they haven't violated the lease?

For a month-to-month tenancy, you generally need to provide a 30-day written notice to terminate the tenancy without cause. For a fixed-term lease, you cannot terminate it without cause before the lease expires unless the lease agreement specifically allows for it.

Q3

What happens if the tenant pays some, but not all, of the rent after I give the 5-day notice?

If you accept a partial payment after issuing a pay-or-quit notice, you might unintentionally waive your right to evict based on that notice. If you accept a partial payment, you likely need to issue a new 5-day notice for the remaining balance. Best practice: don't accept partial payments once you've started the eviction process unless it's part of a written agreement to stop the eviction.

Q4

Is there a limit to how much I can charge for late fees in Jefferson City?

Missouri law doesn't specify a cap on late fees, but courts generally expect them to be "reasonable." A late fee that is excessively high could be challenged by a tenant as a penalty rather than a reasonable estimate of your damages. A common practice is a flat fee or a percentage (e.g., 5-10% of the monthly rent) if not paid by a certain date (e.g., the 5th of the month).

Q5

Do I have to keep the security deposit in a separate account?

Missouri law doesn't specifically require security deposits to be held in a separate, interest-bearing account. You can generally keep it in your operating account. However, you must be able to return it within 30 days, so make sure the funds are readily available. For more details on this, refer to our Missouri security deposit rules.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.7/10 places Jefferson City in the 59th percentile of Missouri cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.