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Map of Jefferson County, MO eviction risk by city, county average 3.7 out of 10
County brief·Updated July 25, 2026

Jefferson County, Missouri Eviction Risk: Very Low

23 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Arnold (2.8) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.

In 2026
Risk score
2.4
VERY LOW

Ranked #37 of 115 MO counties

95k residents · 23 cities · 49 tracts

1976–2026 · pop-weighted from cities

Jefferson County eviction risk score history

Min2.1 Average2.6 Now2.4
10 5 1976 · score 2.5 1977 · score 2.5 1978 · score 2.5 1979 · score 2.5 1980 · score 2.6 1981 · score 2.6 1982 · score 2.6 1983 · score 2.6 1984 · score 2.3 1985 · score 2.2 1986 · score 2.2 1987 · score 2.1 1988 · score 2.4 1989 · score 2.4 1990 · score 2.5 1991 · score 2.5 1992 · score 3.0 1993 · score 3.1 1994 · score 3.0 1995 · score 3.1 1996 · score 3.0 1997 · score 3.0 1998 · score 2.6 1999 · score 2.6 2000 · score 2.5 2001 · score 2.6 2002 · score 2.6 2003 · score 2.5 2004 · score 2.5 2005 · score 2.4 2006 · score 2.4 2007 · score 2.4 2008 · score 2.7 2009 · score 2.9 2010 · score 3.0 2011 · score 2.9 2012 · score 2.8 2013 · score 2.7 2014 · score 2.6 2015 · score 2.5 2016 · score 2.4 2017 · score 2.3 2018 · score 2.3 2019 · score 2.2 2020 · score 3.0 2021 · score 3.2 2022 · score 2.3 2023 · score 2.3 2024 · score 2.4 2025 · score 2.4 2026 · score 2.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Jefferson County averages 2.4/10 across its 23 cities, spanning a low of 2.6 to a high of 4.1, with Murphy representing the highest-risk city in the county. Ranked 9th of 115 Missouri counties by eviction risk, placing Jefferson County in the higher-risk third of the state.

How Jefferson County ranks in Missouri

Lower number means more extreme, where #1 is the most
Eviction Risk Score
Elevated
#37 of 115 MO counties 2.4 / 10
Eviction Risk Score, 68th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 115 counties in Missouri for landlord eviction risk.
Cost of living
Low
#39 of 51 states (statewide) 90.8 index
Cost of living, 24th percentileLowHigh
Missouri ranks #39 of 51 states on overall cost of living (9.2% cheaper than the U.S. avg).
Housing services cost
Very Low
#42 of 51 states (statewide) 69.9 index
Housing services cost, 18th percentileLowHigh
Missouri ranks #42 of 51 states on housing services (30.1% cheaper than the U.S. avg).
Income spent on rent
Elevated
#45 of 115 MO counties 27.5% of income
Income spent on rent, 61st percentileLowHigh
#45 of 115 counties in Missouri on % of income spent on rent.

Landlord guides for Missouri

State-specific playbooks
Missouri Eviction Costs →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Missouri Eviction Process →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Missouri Rent Control →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Missouri Tenant Screening →
Five-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Missouri Tenant Protections →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry
Cities in Jefferson County
Sorted by Eviction Risk Score · highest first
Map view
CityPopulationRisk% income on rentAverage rentLean
001 Arnold Pop 20,956 · 26.3% income · $1,112 rent · Rep 20,956 2.5 26.3% $1,112 Rep
002 Festus Pop 13,201 · 20.9% income · $922 rent · Rep 13,201 2.4 20.9% $922 Rep
003 Murphy Pop 8,285 · 28.1% income · $1,056 rent · Rep 8,285 2.7 28.1% $1,056 Rep
004 De Soto Pop 6,470 · 22.1% income · $809 rent · Rep 6,470 2.4 22.1% $809 Rep
005 Pevely Pop 6,055 · 32.2% income · $875 rent · Rep 6,055 2.5 32.2% $875 Rep
006 Barnhart Pop 5,785 · 20.6% income · $1,565 rent · Rep 5,785 2.2 20.6% $1,565 Rep
007 Imperial Pop 5,488 · 24.7% income · $1,446 rent · Rep 5,488 2.3 24.7% $1,446 Rep
008 Herculaneum Pop 5,071 · 41.4% income · $1,690 rent · Rep 5,071 2.3 41.4% $1,690 Rep
009 Crystal City Pop 4,718 · 26.6% income · $1,062 rent · Rep 4,718 2.3 26.6% $1,062 Rep
010 High Ridge Pop 3,714 · 25.9% income · $983 rent · Rep 3,714 2.4 25.9% $983 Rep
011 Hillsboro Pop 3,500 · 31.3% income · $973 rent · Rep 3,500 2.5 31.3% $973 Rep
012 Byrnes Mill Pop 3,189 · 24.8% income · $1,137 rent · Rep 3,189 2.5 24.8% $1,137 Rep
013 Raintree Plantation Pop 2,047 · 19.6% income · $975 rent · Rep 2,047 2.0 19.6% $975 Rep
014 LaBarque Creek Pop 1,457 · 55.3% income · $1,102 rent · Rep 1,457 2.1 55.3% $1,102 Rep
015 Cedar Hill Pop 1,261 · 46.9% income · $1,299 rent · Rep 1,261 2.5 46.9% $1,299 Rep
016 Summer Set Pop 1,236 · 27.1% income · $1,670 rent · Rep 1,236 1.9 27.1% $1,670 Rep
017 Horine Pop 781 · 27.1% income · $1,102 rent · Rep 781 2.8 27.1% $1,102 Rep
018 Olympian Village Pop 694 · 24.7% income · $1,297 rent · Rep 694 2.4 24.7% $1,297 Rep
019 Briarwood Estates Pop 307 · 27.1% income · $1,102 rent · Rep 307 1.9 27.1% $1,102 Rep
020 Cedar Hill Lakes Pop 284 · 18.0% income · $758 rent · Rep 284 2.2 18.0% $758 Rep
021 Scotsdale Pop 216 · 27.1% income · $1,102 rent · Rep 216 1.9 27.1% $1,102 Rep
022 Lake Tekakwitha Pop 202 · 15.0% income · $900 rent · Rep 202 2.2 15.0% $900 Rep
023 Kimmswick Pop 112 · 20.0% income · $1,250 rent · Rep 112 1.8 20.0% $1,250 Rep

County heatmap

Geographic distribution
Local landlord context

One county, multiple regulatory regimes.

Jefferson County carries an average eviction-risk score of 2.4/10 (Very Low) across its 23 cities, a figure that looks reassuring on the surface. But landlords operating in Missouri should read that number carefully: the county ranks 9th of 115 Missouri counties, meaning only 8 counties statewide carry more risk. That places Jefferson County squarely in the higher-risk third of the state, and average rents of $1,117 per month leave thin margin for the carrying costs that come with a contested eviction.

The intra-county spread tells a more granular story. Individual city scores range from 1.8 to 2.8, a 1.5-point spread that means the neighborhood you buy in matters far more than the county headline. Rent burden sits at an average of 26.8% of income across the county, a level that keeps tenant cashflow tight and elevates the likelihood that income disruptions translate directly into payment problems for landlords.

The cities inside Jefferson County

At the top of the risk range, Murphy (population 8,285) and High Ridge both score 2.4/10, tied for the county's highest-risk designation. Arnold, the county's largest city at 20,956 residents, scores 4/10, joined by Cedar Hill at the same level. Pevely (population 6,055) and Byrnes Mill both score 2.5/10, while Festus (population 13,201) sits at 2.4/10. These communities, concentrated along the I-55 corridor, warrant closer due-diligence on tenant screening and rent-to-income ratios before acquisition.

Lower risk within the county clusters at the other end of the range. Herculaneum scores 2.3/10 and Barnhart comes in at 2.2/10, offering meaningfully better operating conditions than the county's upper tier. The gap between Murphy's 4.1 and Herculaneum's 3.3 illustrates why city-level data, not county averages, should drive buy-box decisions in Jefferson County.

State-level laws that apply here

All Jefferson County landlords operate under Missouri state law (RSMo § 441, Landlord and Tenant). For nonpayment of rent, Missouri permits a rent-and-possession action with no advance notice period before filing (RSMo § 535.010), one of the more creditor-friendly postures in the region. A material lease violation requires a 10-day notice to quit (RSMo § 441.060), and ending a month-to-month tenancy requires 30 days notice under the same statute. Understanding the full Missouri eviction process is essential, particularly how quickly an uncontested case can resolve, typically 21 to 45 days, versus a contested matter that can run 45 to 120 days.

On the cost side, court filing fees run $70 to $180, sheriff lockout fees add $40 to $150, and attorney fees for a standard eviction typically range from $500 to $3,000. Missouri eviction costs therefore vary considerably depending on whether a tenant contests the action. Missouri imposes no rent control and does not require just cause for non-renewal; state law explicitly preempts local rent-control ordinances, so no Jefferson County municipality can impose caps independently. The Missouri Commission on Human Rights handles fair-housing complaints statewide.

With a poverty rate averaging 10.7% across the county and only 22.6% of residents renting, Jefferson County's landlord base is relatively small, making hyper-local city-level risk scores the most reliable guide, use the city grid above to compare specific communities before committing capital.

Eviction filings in Missouri

Eviction Lab Tracking System · statewide · live through 2026-05-01

The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Missouri statewide (no county-level tracker available for Jefferson County). In the past month, 3,285 statewide filings were recorded, 0.88× the historical baseline (below baseline).

Missouri statewide, last 36 months 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Missouri statewide eviction filings (Eviction Lab)2023-05-01: 4,308 filings (1.04× hist)2023-06-01: 4,368 filings (1.09× hist)2023-07-01: 4,067 filings (0.98× hist)2023-08-01: 4,271 filings (1.01× hist)2023-09-01: 4,134 filings (1.03× hist)2023-10-01: 4,557 filings (1.07× hist)2023-11-01: 3,861 filings (1.05× hist)2023-12-01: 3,321 filings (0.95× hist)2024-01-01: 4,075 filings (1.04× hist)2024-02-01: 3,910 filings (0.99× hist)2024-03-01: 3,376 filings (0.89× hist)2024-04-01: 3,563 filings (0.96× hist)2024-05-01: 3,991 filings (0.96× hist)2024-06-01: 3,667 filings (0.91× hist)2024-07-01: 4,247 filings (1.02× hist)2024-08-01: 4,204 filings (0.99× hist)2024-09-01: 3,903 filings (0.97× hist)2024-10-01: 3,988 filings (0.93× hist)2024-11-01: 3,506 filings (0.95× hist)2024-12-01: 3,675 filings (1.05× hist)2025-01-01: 4,255 filings (1.09× hist)2025-02-01: 3,552 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 3,234 filings (0.85× hist)2025-04-01: 3,700 filings (1.00× hist)2025-05-01: 3,658 filings (0.88× hist)2025-06-01: 3,488 filings (0.87× hist)2025-07-01: 4,442 filings (1.07× hist)2025-08-01: 3,869 filings (0.91× hist)2025-09-01: 3,990 filings (0.99× hist)2025-10-01: 3,771 filings (0.88× hist)2025-11-01: 3,265 filings (0.89× hist)2025-12-01: 3,493 filings (1.00× hist)2026-01-01: 3,667 filings (0.94× hist)2026-02-01: 3,715 filings (0.96× hist)2026-03-01: 3,596 filings (0.95× hist)2026-04-01: 3,285 filings (0.88× hist)
Notice requirement: at least ten days notice (for nonpayment of rent cases, though in other cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $33.
1

Historical eviction filings in Jefferson County

From 2003 to 2017, eviction filings in Jefferson County increased 28%. The peak was 1,506 filings in 2010.2

Annual filings 2003–2017 No filing data published after 2018
Annual eviction filings in Jefferson County 2000-2018 (Eviction Lab)2003: 1,018 filings2004: 979 filings2005: 1,031 filings2006: 1,419 filings2007: 1,411 filings2008: 1,279 filings2009: 1,232 filings2010: 1,506 filings2011: 1,375 filings2012: 1,245 filings2013: 1,250 filings2014: 1,243 filings2015: 1,124 filings2016: 1,362 filings2017: 1,304 filings

Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.

How Jefferson County compares

Among its peer counties, Jefferson County's 2.4/10 average falls below Jasper County (4.04/10) and Cass County (3.81/10), and above Cape Girardeau County (3.49/10), Boone County (3.53/10), and Christian County (3.65/10). Jefferson County ranks 9th of 115 Missouri counties by eviction risk, placing it in the higher-risk third of the state despite its Low tier designation. Only 8 Missouri counties carry more risk, and 106 are less risky.

Peer counties in Missouri

Same state, closest by population and Eviction Risk Score
Peer county
Clay County eviction risk
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 103K
Peer county
Cass County eviction risk
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 83.5K
Peer county
Jasper County eviction risk
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 105K
Peer county
St. Francois County eviction risk
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 46.6K

Where eviction risk concentrates in Jefferson County

Top cities + top neighborhoods · click any card for the full breakdown

Top cities by population

Top neighborhoods by risk

Frequently asked

Frequently asked questions about Jefferson County

Q1

What is the eviction risk score for Jefferson County?

Jefferson County has a county-wide landlord eviction risk score of 2.4/10 (Very Low), averaged across 23 cities. Scores range from 1.8 to 2.8 within the county.
Q2

What is the rent-to-income ratio in Jefferson County?

Rent-to-income ratio in Jefferson County averages 26.8% of household income on gross rent, per ACS 2023 5-year data.
Q3

How many cities are in Jefferson County?

23 cities sit in Jefferson County, MO, serving approximately 95,029 residents.