Jefferson County, Missouri Eviction Risk: Very Low
23 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Arnold (2.8) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #37 of 115 MO counties
95k residents · 23 cities · 49 tracts
Jefferson County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord20.0%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Jefferson County, MO, tenants prevail in roughly 20.0% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline40dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Jefferson County, MO until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 40 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$1.2–3.5klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Jefferson County, MO costs landlords $1,166 to $3,482 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$1,11727% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Jefferson County, MO is $1,117 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 27% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters22.6%of households22.6% of occupied housing units in Jefferson County, MO are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty10.7%4.7% unemp.10.7% of Jefferson County, MO residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 4.7%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Jefferson County averages 2.4/10 across its 23 cities, spanning a low of 2.6 to a high of 4.1, with Murphy representing the highest-risk city in the county. Ranked 9th of 115 Missouri counties by eviction risk, placing Jefferson County in the higher-risk third of the state.
How Jefferson County ranks in Missouri
Landlord guides for Missouri
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Arnold | 20,956 | 2.5 | 26.3% | $1,112 | Rep |
| 002 | Festus | 13,201 | 2.4 | 20.9% | $922 | Rep |
| 003 | Murphy | 8,285 | 2.7 | 28.1% | $1,056 | Rep |
| 004 | De Soto | 6,470 | 2.4 | 22.1% | $809 | Rep |
| 005 | Pevely | 6,055 | 2.5 | 32.2% | $875 | Rep |
| 006 | Barnhart | 5,785 | 2.2 | 20.6% | $1,565 | Rep |
| 007 | Imperial | 5,488 | 2.3 | 24.7% | $1,446 | Rep |
| 008 | Herculaneum | 5,071 | 2.3 | 41.4% | $1,690 | Rep |
| 009 | Crystal City | 4,718 | 2.3 | 26.6% | $1,062 | Rep |
| 010 | High Ridge | 3,714 | 2.4 | 25.9% | $983 | Rep |
| 011 | Hillsboro | 3,500 | 2.5 | 31.3% | $973 | Rep |
| 012 | Byrnes Mill | 3,189 | 2.5 | 24.8% | $1,137 | Rep |
| 013 | Raintree Plantation | 2,047 | 2.0 | 19.6% | $975 | Rep |
| 014 | LaBarque Creek | 1,457 | 2.1 | 55.3% | $1,102 | Rep |
| 015 | Cedar Hill | 1,261 | 2.5 | 46.9% | $1,299 | Rep |
| 016 | Summer Set | 1,236 | 1.9 | 27.1% | $1,670 | Rep |
| 017 | Horine | 781 | 2.8 | 27.1% | $1,102 | Rep |
| 018 | Olympian Village | 694 | 2.4 | 24.7% | $1,297 | Rep |
| 019 | Briarwood Estates | 307 | 1.9 | 27.1% | $1,102 | Rep |
| 020 | Cedar Hill Lakes | 284 | 2.2 | 18.0% | $758 | Rep |
| 021 | Scotsdale | 216 | 1.9 | 27.1% | $1,102 | Rep |
| 022 | Lake Tekakwitha | 202 | 2.2 | 15.0% | $900 | Rep |
| 023 | Kimmswick | 112 | 1.8 | 20.0% | $1,250 | Rep |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Jefferson County
Top 2 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Jefferson County carries an average eviction-risk score of 2.4/10 (Very Low) across its 23 cities, a figure that looks reassuring on the surface. But landlords operating in Missouri should read that number carefully: the county ranks 9th of 115 Missouri counties, meaning only 8 counties statewide carry more risk. That places Jefferson County squarely in the higher-risk third of the state, and average rents of $1,117 per month leave thin margin for the carrying costs that come with a contested eviction.
The intra-county spread tells a more granular story. Individual city scores range from 1.8 to 2.8, a 1.5-point spread that means the neighborhood you buy in matters far more than the county headline. Rent burden sits at an average of 26.8% of income across the county, a level that keeps tenant cashflow tight and elevates the likelihood that income disruptions translate directly into payment problems for landlords.
The cities inside Jefferson County
At the top of the risk range, Murphy (population 8,285) and High Ridge both score 2.4/10, tied for the county's highest-risk designation. Arnold, the county's largest city at 20,956 residents, scores 4/10, joined by Cedar Hill at the same level. Pevely (population 6,055) and Byrnes Mill both score 2.5/10, while Festus (population 13,201) sits at 2.4/10. These communities, concentrated along the I-55 corridor, warrant closer due-diligence on tenant screening and rent-to-income ratios before acquisition.
Lower risk within the county clusters at the other end of the range. Herculaneum scores 2.3/10 and Barnhart comes in at 2.2/10, offering meaningfully better operating conditions than the county's upper tier. The gap between Murphy's 4.1 and Herculaneum's 3.3 illustrates why city-level data, not county averages, should drive buy-box decisions in Jefferson County.
State-level laws that apply here
All Jefferson County landlords operate under Missouri state law (RSMo § 441, Landlord and Tenant). For nonpayment of rent, Missouri permits a rent-and-possession action with no advance notice period before filing (RSMo § 535.010), one of the more creditor-friendly postures in the region. A material lease violation requires a 10-day notice to quit (RSMo § 441.060), and ending a month-to-month tenancy requires 30 days notice under the same statute. Understanding the full Missouri eviction process is essential, particularly how quickly an uncontested case can resolve, typically 21 to 45 days, versus a contested matter that can run 45 to 120 days.
On the cost side, court filing fees run $70 to $180, sheriff lockout fees add $40 to $150, and attorney fees for a standard eviction typically range from $500 to $3,000. Missouri eviction costs therefore vary considerably depending on whether a tenant contests the action. Missouri imposes no rent control and does not require just cause for non-renewal; state law explicitly preempts local rent-control ordinances, so no Jefferson County municipality can impose caps independently. The Missouri Commission on Human Rights handles fair-housing complaints statewide.
With a poverty rate averaging 10.7% across the county and only 22.6% of residents renting, Jefferson County's landlord base is relatively small, making hyper-local city-level risk scores the most reliable guide, use the city grid above to compare specific communities before committing capital.
Eviction filings in Missouri
The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Missouri statewide (no county-level tracker available for Jefferson County). In the past month, 3,285 statewide filings were recorded, 0.88× the historical baseline (below baseline).
- 3,285Past month (state)
- 44,239Past 12 months
- 0.93×vs baseline (12 mo)
Historical eviction filings in Jefferson County
From 2003 to 2017, eviction filings in Jefferson County increased 28%. The peak was 1,506 filings in 2010.2
- 1,0182003
- 1,506Peak (2010)
- 1,3042017
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Jefferson County compares
Among its peer counties, Jefferson County's 2.4/10 average falls below Jasper County (4.04/10) and Cass County (3.81/10), and above Cape Girardeau County (3.49/10), Boone County (3.53/10), and Christian County (3.65/10). Jefferson County ranks 9th of 115 Missouri counties by eviction risk, placing it in the higher-risk third of the state despite its Low tier designation. Only 8 Missouri counties carry more risk, and 106 are less risky.