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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Herculaneum Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29099700802 · Jefferson County, MO · pop 5,692 · 37% of tract blocks fall in Herculaneum

Tract 29099700802 sits in Herculaneum, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. Population here is 5,692. Against Jefferson County at 32.9%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 16% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,029
Renter share32.6%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$80,536

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Herculaneum
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 49 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#564 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Herculaneum and the region

Centroid at 38.2477, -90.4122 · click any tract to drill in

Why Herculaneum scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Herculaneum
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,471 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Herculaneum
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Herculaneum
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Herculaneum
6.4

How Herculaneum compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Herculaneum risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 7008023.4Herculaneumparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 259Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 4.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2012)
  • 21Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29099700802
Filings climbed 163% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Herculaneum

33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.

The voucher gap is 21.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 259 filings here across 14 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $1,471, 13% below the Herculaneum average. Filings peaked in 2012 at 7.9% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

It tracks the Jefferson County average of 3.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $80,536. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 29099700802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700802?

Census tract 29099700802 in Herculaneum scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29099700802?

Median gross rent is $1,471/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700802?

14.7% of residents in tract 29099700802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,692.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 37th, minority 23th, housing 69th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29099700802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 259 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 29099700802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.84% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29099700802 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29099700802 compare to Herculaneum overall?

Tract 29099700802 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Herculaneum at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Herculaneum; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Herculaneum

Top eight tracts in Herculaneum ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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