Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Carondelet Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510101400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,803 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 29510101400 belongs to the Carondelet neighborhood of St. Louis, Missouri. It is home to 2,803 residents and scores $1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $999 a month while the average household earns $54,480 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,159
Renter share42.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$54,480
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5622, -90.2535 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carondelet scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$999 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Carondelet compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 48%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 517Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.2%Peak (2007)
- 39Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 203Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.2%Housing insecurity
- 16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.2%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.7%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 39.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carondelet
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510101400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510101400?
Census tract 29510101400 in the Carondelet neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510101400?
Median gross rent is $999/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510101400?
20.8% of residents in tract 29510101400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,803.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510101400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 56th, minority 66th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 29510101400 considered part of Carondelet?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510101400 fall within Carondelet (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510101400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 517 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510101400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.99% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510101400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510101400 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510101400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510101400 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510101400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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