Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Covenant Blu Grand Center Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510119300 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,895 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 29510119300 in the Covenant Blu Grand Center area of St. Louis, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 46%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,559
Renter share91.1%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate31.0%
Median income$36,308
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6400, -90.2382 · click any tract to drill in
Why Covenant Blu Grand Center scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
31.0% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,021 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Covenant Blu Grand Center compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 16%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 56%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 757Total filings over 13 yrs
- 4.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.7%Peak (2005)
- 45Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 749Total filings 2020-21
- 9.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.06×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 23.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Covenant Blu Grand Center
91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. What pushes it up most is regional political climate at 8.3/10.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $36,308, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Court records carry 757 eviction filings across 13 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 8.7% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510119300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510119300?
Census tract 29510119300 in the Covenant Blu Grand Center neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510119300?
Median gross rent is $1,021/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510119300?
31.0% of residents in tract 29510119300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,895.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510119300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 2th, minority 56th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 29510119300 considered part of Covenant Blu Grand Center?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510119300 fall within Covenant Blu Grand Center (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510119300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 757 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510119300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.76% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510119300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510119300 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510119300 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510119300 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510119300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related