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Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

Cheltenham Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,270 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Cheltenham maps to a single census tract in St. Louis, MO, population 2,270. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $1,538, 54% above the St. Louis average of $997.

This is a renter market: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 27% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 26.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot is supply constraint at 7.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 254 evictions logged in this tract.

SNAP participation is 5.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.3% of adults, 9.5 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 7.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.5% in 2017, is well off that peak.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cheltenham vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.8% -5%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,538 +54%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$75,382 +31%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
5.9% -71%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
76.4% +40%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cheltenham and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Cheltenham scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
76% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
5.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Risk score comparison

Cheltenham vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cheltenham score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0CheltenhamNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Cheltenham

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510104500 3 2,270 27% $1,538
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cheltenham

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 254Total filings (sum)
  • 3.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak year (2004)
  • 1.48%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 72Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly observed
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.82×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cheltenham

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cheltenham

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cheltenham?

Cheltenham scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cheltenham compare to St. Louis overall?

Cheltenham scores 1.2 points lower than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,538 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cheltenham?

Average gross rent in Cheltenham is $1,538/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cheltenham residents are renters?

76% of Cheltenham households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 2,270 residents.
Q5

Is Cheltenham a high social-vulnerability area?

Cheltenham sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Cheltenham for landlords?

Cheltenham carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Cheltenham?

Cheltenham has 2,331 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cheltenham

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cheltenham.

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