Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Columbus Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510125700 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,770 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 29510125700 sits in the Columbus Square area of St. Louis, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 1,770 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 61%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,090
Renter share93.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate40.9%
Median income$23,377
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6386, -90.1907 · click any tract to drill in
Why Columbus Square scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
40.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$902 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Columbus Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 27%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,810Total filings over 13 yrs
- 10.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.8%Peak (2009)
- 162Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 76% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 999Total filings 2020-21
- 13.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.0%Housing insecurity
- 31.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.0%Food insecurity
- 44.8%SNAP enrollment
- 23.4%Transit barriers
- 12.8%No health insurance
- 22.9%Frequent mental distress
- 46.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Columbus Square
Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 44.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Set annual rent against average income of $23,377 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Housing insecurity runs 36.0% against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. The filing record is not thin: 1,810 evictions over 13 years of observation. At $902 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510125700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510125700?
Census tract 29510125700 in the Columbus Square neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510125700?
Median gross rent is $902/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510125700?
40.9% of residents in tract 29510125700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,770.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510125700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 95th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 29510125700 considered part of Columbus Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510125700 fall within Columbus Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510125700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,810 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510125700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.91% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510125700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510125700 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510125700 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510125700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510125700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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