Fairground Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $21,422, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 26.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $709 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. 46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the St. Louis City average of 41.6%. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 512 filings here across 13 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 24.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.