Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Midtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510127800 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,543 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 29510127800 sits in the Midtown area of St. Louis, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 3,543 residents. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units1,572
Renter share98.2%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate32.1%
Median income$25,091
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6320, -90.2259 · click any tract to drill in
Why Midtown scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
32.1% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$791 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Midtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 37%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 439Total filings 2020-21
- 5.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.28×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.7%Housing insecurity
- 22.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.1%Food insecurity
- 33.5%SNAP enrollment
- 21.5%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 23.8%Frequent mental distress
- 45.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Midtown
98% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $25,091, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.3/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Cost burden runs about half here against 41.6% across St. Louis City.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.7% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $791, 21% below the St. Louis average.
Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510127800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510127800?
Census tract 29510127800 in the Midtown neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510127800?
Median gross rent is $791/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510127800?
32.1% of residents in tract 29510127800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,543.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510127800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 43th, minority 76th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 29510127800 considered part of Midtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510127800 fall within Midtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29510127800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29510127800 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29510127800 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510127800 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29510127800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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