Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Old North Saint Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510126600 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,587 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 29510126600 in the Old North Saint Louis area of St. Louis, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,587. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,085
Renter share69.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate58.3%
Median income$17,623
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6484, -90.1909 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old North Saint Louis scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
58.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$464 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Old North Saint Louis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 51%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,200Total filings over 13 yrs
- 12.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.2%Peak (2011)
- 72Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 340Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 38.3%Housing insecurity
- 35.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.5%Food insecurity
- 49.9%SNAP enrollment
- 26.5%Transit barriers
- 14.8%No health insurance
- 24.0%Frequent mental distress
- 49.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old North Saint Louis
Average gross rent is $464, 53% below the St. Louis average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 35.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 58%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.0% against 31.5% nationally.
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.2 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. The filing record is not thin: 1,200 evictions over 13 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 16.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510126600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510126600?
Census tract 29510126600 in the Old North Saint Louis neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510126600?
Median gross rent is $464/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510126600?
58.3% of residents in tract 29510126600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,587.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510126600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 70th, minority 88th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 29510126600 considered part of Old North Saint Louis?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510126600 fall within Old North Saint Louis (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510126600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,200 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510126600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.27% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510126600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510126600 struggle to pay rent?
About 38.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 35.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510126600 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510126600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510126600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 51% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Peabody-Darst-Webbe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Patch
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
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5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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