Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Penrose Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510110100 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,961 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 29510110100 sits in the Penrose area of St. Louis, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It is home to 1,961 residents. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units919
Renter share65.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate39.3%
Median income$32,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6713, -90.2395 · click any tract to drill in
Why Penrose scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
39.3% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$1,030 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Penrose compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 46%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 890Total filings over 13 yrs
- 10.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.5%Peak (2007)
- 50Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 203Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.7%Housing insecurity
- 32.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.7%Food insecurity
- 49.6%SNAP enrollment
- 25.2%Transit barriers
- 14.6%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 52.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Penrose
Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 46.7% against 17.8% nationally. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.8/10.
Housing insecurity runs 36.7% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $32,667 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 890 filings here across 13 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 15.5% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.9% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510110100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510110100?
Census tract 29510110100 in the Penrose neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510110100?
Median gross rent is $1,030/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510110100?
39.3% of residents in tract 29510110100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,961.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510110100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 20th, minority 98th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 29510110100 considered part of Penrose?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510110100 fall within Penrose (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510110100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 890 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510110100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.86% of renter households, peaking at 15.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510110100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510110100 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510110100 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510110100 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510110100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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