Saint Louis Place Eviction Risk: Moderate

At $425 a month, rents sit 57% under what the rest of St. Louis commands. 27.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 31.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 816 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 15.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.4% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #1 of 69 neighborhoods in St. Louis.

For a like-for-like read, North Riverfront and Peabody-Darst-Webbe score within a fraction of it.

One tract means one number: 5.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.