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Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

JeffVanderLou Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 6,940 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 4.7–6

JeffVanderLou is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in St. Louis with 3 census tracts and a population of 6,940 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 34% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $871/month sits 13% lower than the St. Louis citywide average ($997).

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
JeffVanderLou vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.7% +20%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$871 -13%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$35,645 -38%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
28.9% +44%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
71.4% +30%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across JeffVanderLou and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.7–6

Why JeffVanderLou scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
71% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
28.9% below poverty line · Range 4.2–10.0 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–3.0 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

JeffVanderLou vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

JeffVanderLou score vs. parent city, state, U.S.JeffVanderLou: 5.35.3JeffVanderLouNeighborhoodParent city: 3.33.3Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in JeffVanderLou?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 4.7 to 6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in JeffVanderLou

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510127700 6 2,166 51% $842
29510121200 5.4 2,135 28% $779
29510110400 4.7 2,639 24% $970
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 95%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in JeffVanderLou

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,595Total filings (sum)
  • 9.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak year (2011)
  • 8.36%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 530Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly observed
  • 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.56×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in JeffVanderLou

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About JeffVanderLou

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for JeffVanderLou?

JeffVanderLou scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does JeffVanderLou compare to St. Louis overall?

JeffVanderLou scores 2.0 points higher than St. Louis overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $871 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in JeffVanderLou?

Average gross rent in JeffVanderLou is $871/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of JeffVanderLou residents are renters?

71% of JeffVanderLou households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 6,940 residents.
Q5

Is JeffVanderLou a high social-vulnerability area?

JeffVanderLou sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in JeffVanderLou have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in JeffVanderLou is census tract 29510127700 (score 6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 6, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is JeffVanderLou for landlords?

JeffVanderLou carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of JeffVanderLou?

JeffVanderLou has 6,580 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (93.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.4%), Hispanic / Latino (1.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near JeffVanderLou

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to JeffVanderLou.

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