Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Shaw Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis
Tract 29510117200 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 4,886 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 29510117200 sits in the Shaw area of St. Louis, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,886. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the St. Louis City average of 41.6%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,428
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$105,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6140, -90.2509 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shaw scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,178 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Shaw compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 68%Grade B
- 24%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,130Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2004)
- 33Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 79% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 126Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.33×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shaw
The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.3/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.4 points below the St. Louis City average of 4.4. Food insecurity runs 7.4% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,178, 18% above the St. Louis average. The filing record is not thin: 1,130 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Filings peaked in 2004 at 9.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510117200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510117200?
Census tract 29510117200 in the Shaw neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510117200?
Median gross rent is $1,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510117200?
6.7% of residents in tract 29510117200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,886.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510117200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 2th, minority 50th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 29510117200 considered part of Shaw?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510117200 fall within Shaw (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510117200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,130 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510117200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.34% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510117200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510117200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510117200 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510117200 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510117200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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