Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Visitation Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510105500 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,636 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
29510105500 is a census tract in the Visitation Park area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,636. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,221
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$54,766
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6600, -90.2770 · click any tract to drill in
Why Visitation Park scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$931 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Visitation Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 79%Grade B
- 21%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 934Total filings over 13 yrs
- 12.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.8%Peak (2004)
- 61Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 291Total filings 2020-21
- 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.74×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.1%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.9%Food insecurity
- 21.6%SNAP enrollment
- 13.9%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 38.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Visitation Park
Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.3/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.1% against 14.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 934 evictions over 13 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 18.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510105500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510105500?
Census tract 29510105500 in the Visitation Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510105500?
Median gross rent is $931/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510105500?
16.4% of residents in tract 29510105500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,636.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510105500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 82th, minority 95th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 29510105500 considered part of Visitation Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510105500 fall within Visitation Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510105500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 934 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510105500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.93% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510105500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510105500 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510105500 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510105500 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510105500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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