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Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

Ballwin Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29189217923 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,629 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Ballwin

The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 29189217923 reflects conditions in Ballwin, Missouri. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,156 a month against an average household income of $118,059 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 13% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,496
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$118,059

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Ballwin
Elevated
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#193 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#1,551 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#79,124 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ballwin and the region

Centroid at 38.5764, -90.5495 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ballwin scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ballwin
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,156 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ballwin
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ballwin
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ballwin
4.9

How Ballwin compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ballwin risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.51.5This tracttract 217923Ballwin: 2.32.3Ballwinparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 176Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 4.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2012)
  • 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291892179232003: 13 filings (2.34/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (2.34/100 renter HHs)2005: 17 filings (3.54/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (5.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (5.57/100 renter HHs)2012: 36 filings (7.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 27 filings (5.47/100 renter HHs)2017: 14 filings (2.69/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 73Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.41×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ballwin

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ballwin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.41x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189217923

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217923?

Census tract 29189217923 in Ballwin scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189217923?

Median gross rent is $1,156/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217923?

4.6% of residents in tract 29189217923 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,629.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217923?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 36th, minority 30th, housing 8th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217923?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 176 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217923 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.28% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189217923 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189217923 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189217923 compare to Ballwin overall?

Tract 29189217923 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Ballwin at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ballwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ballwin

Top eight tracts in Ballwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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