Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Ballwin Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189217802 ·
St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,564 · 61% of tract blocks fall in Ballwin
For landlords sizing up Ballwin, census tract 29189217802 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,743 monthly, set against $127,774 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 5%Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,634
Renter share8.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$127,774
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80th percentile
#2 of 6 tracts In Ballwin
High
Within county
19th percentile
#192 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very Low
Within state
6th percentile
#1,551 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
6th percentile
#79,124 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ballwin and the region
Centroid at 38.6086, -90.5224 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ballwin scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ballwin
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,743 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ballwin
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ballwin
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ballwin
4.9
How Ballwin compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
11%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
45Total filings over 8 yrs
1.68%Avg annual filing rate
2.3%Peak (2006)
3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2003 to 2017
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
21Total filings 2020-21
0.3Avg monthly (observed)
0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.58×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.0%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
3.9%SNAP enrollment
4.3%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
12.6%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ballwin
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ballwin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 45 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.3% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217802?
Census tract 29189217802 in Ballwin scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189217802?
Median gross rent is $1,743/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217802?
6.2% of residents in tract 29189217802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,564.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 26th, minority 47th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.68% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189217802 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189217802 compare to Ballwin overall?
Tract 29189217802 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Ballwin at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ballwin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ballwin
Top eight tracts in Ballwin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.