Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Ellisville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189217921 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,070 · 22% of tract blocks fall in Ellisville
Eviction risk in Ellisville centers on tract 29189217921, which scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,070 residents. That is riskier than about 42% of US census tracts.
27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,093 a month against an average household income of $164,808 a year, roughly 8% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,760
Renter share15.6%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$164,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
National
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ellisville and the region
Centroid at 38.5578, -90.5810 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellisville scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ellisville
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,093 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellisville
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellisville
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellisville
4.4
How Ellisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2012)
- 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 33Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellisville
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ellisville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.55x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217921
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217921?
Census tract 29189217921 in Ellisville scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189217921?
Median gross rent is $1,093/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217921?
7.8% of residents in tract 29189217921 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,070.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217921?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 36th, minority 37th, housing 6th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217921?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 29189217921 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.08% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217921 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189217921 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189217921 compare to Ellisville overall?
Tract 29189217921 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Ellisville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellisville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ellisville
Top eight tracts in Ellisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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