Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189218013 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,605 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Manchester
Census tract 29189218013 covers part of Manchester, MO, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,209
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$106,231
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manchester and the region
Centroid at 38.5748, -90.4783 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manchester
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,208 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
4.2
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 195Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.4%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the St. Louis County average of 4.0.
Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,208 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Manchester commands.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $106,231, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189218013
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189218013?
Census tract 29189218013 in Manchester scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189218013?
Median gross rent is $1,208/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189218013?
9.2% of residents in tract 29189218013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,605.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189218013?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 14th, minority 35th, housing 12th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189218013 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189218013 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189218013 compare to Manchester overall?
Tract 29189218013 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manchester
Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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