1 census tracts · pop 2,366 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
South Black is a one-tract neighborhood of Bozeman, MT, population 2,366. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 52% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Bozeman rate of 30.6%.
The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. At $1,322 a month, rents sit 23% under what the rest of Bozeman commands.
The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions logged in this tract. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.
SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2000 at 0.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 0.1% in 2002, is well off that peak.
Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Bozeman, it ranks #5 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Cattail Creek and North Tracy Avenue score within a fraction of it.
Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Black vs BozemanHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority11%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in South Black
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
4Total filings (sum)
0.24%Avg annual filing rate
0.4%Peak year (2000)
0.12%Latest filed (2002)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Black
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.9%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility shutoff threat
8.2%Food insecurity
5.6%SNAP enrollment
7.0%No health insurance
22.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South Black
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Black?
South Black scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Black compare to Bozeman overall?
South Black scores 0.9 points higher than Bozeman overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,322 vs $1,717.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Black?
Average gross rent in South Black is $1,322/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Black residents are renters?
54% of South Black households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Bozeman). The neighborhood has 2,366 residents.
Q5
Is South Black a high social-vulnerability area?
South Black sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is South Black for landlords?
South Black carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bozeman as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of South Black?
South Black has 2,526 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (91.1%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%), Hispanic / Latino (1.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
