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Neighborhood · Bozeman, MT

South Black Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,366 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

South Black is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bozeman with 1 census tract and a population of 2,366 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,322/month sits 23% lower than the Bozeman citywide average ($1,717).

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Black vs Bozeman How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.7% +69%
Bozeman: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,322 -23%
Bozeman: $1,717
Average HH income
$81,122 +2%
Bozeman: $79,903
Poverty rate
17.2% +16%
Bozeman: 14.8%
Renter share
53.5% -3%
Bozeman: 55.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Black and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why South Black scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
17.2% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Risk score comparison

South Black vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Black score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Black: 4.74.7South BlackNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.32.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Black

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
30031000800 4.7 2,366 52% $1,322
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 11%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Black

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings (sum)
  • 0.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak year (2000)
  • 0.12%Latest filed (2002)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Black

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Black

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Black?

South Black scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Black compare to Bozeman overall?

South Black scores 2.0 points higher than Bozeman overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,322 vs $1,717.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Black?

Average gross rent in South Black is $1,322/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Black residents are renters?

54% of South Black households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Bozeman). The neighborhood has 2,366 residents.
Q5

Is South Black a high social-vulnerability area?

South Black sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Black for landlords?

South Black carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bozeman as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Black?

South Black has 2,526 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (91.1%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%), Hispanic / Latino (1.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Black

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bozeman

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Black.

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