Neighborhood · Bozeman, MT

Gran Cielo Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Gran Cielo is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bozeman with 1 census tract and a population of 5,352 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 44% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,801/month sits 5% higher than the Bozeman citywide average ($1,717).

Risk score

Elevated

1 tracts · population-weighted

Gran Cielo vs Bozeman How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

65.0% +112%

Bozeman: 30.6%

Average gross rent

$1,801 +5%

Bozeman: $1,717

Average HH income

$66,688 -17%

Bozeman: $79,903

Poverty rate

36.2% +144%

Bozeman: 14.8%

Renter share

59.0% +7%

Bozeman: 55.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gran Cielo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6–6

Why Gran Cielo scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

65% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

59% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

36.2% below poverty line · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Risk score comparison

Gran Cielo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Gran Cielo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
30031001102	6	5,352	65%	$1,801

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 2%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 88%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Gran Cielo

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

8Total filings (sum)
0.47%Avg annual filing rate
0.6%Peak year (2000)
0.35%Latest filed (2001)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gran Cielo

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.4%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
11.3%SNAP enrollment
10.1%No health insurance
29.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Gran Cielo

What is the eviction-risk score for Gran Cielo?

Gran Cielo scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Gran Cielo compare to Bozeman overall?

Gran Cielo scores 3.3 points higher than Bozeman overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,801 vs $1,717.

What is the average rent in Gran Cielo?

Average gross rent in Gran Cielo is $1,801/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Gran Cielo residents are renters?

59% of Gran Cielo households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Bozeman). The neighborhood has 5,352 residents.

Is Gran Cielo a high social-vulnerability area?

Gran Cielo sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Gran Cielo for landlords?

Gran Cielo carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bozeman as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Gran Cielo?

Gran Cielo has 5,630 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.6%), Hispanic / Latino (8.2%), Other / Multiracial (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gran Cielo

4.6 North Tracy Avenue 2 tracts · pop 6,910

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bozeman

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gran Cielo.

6.3 Montana State University 1 tracts · pop 5,931 5.3 Bozeman Gateway 1 tracts · pop 1,910 5.1 Apollo 1 tracts · pop 4,591 4.7 South Black 1 tracts · pop 2,366 4.6 Cattail Creek 1 tracts · pop 3,904 4.4 North Tracy Avenue 2 tracts · pop 6,910

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