1 census tracts · pop 5,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10
· range 5.9–5.9
Gran Cielo is a one-tract neighborhood of Bozeman, MT, population 5,352. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. 44% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Cost burden runs 65% against 30.6% citywide, putting Gran Cielo 34.4% over its own city. The dominant input is economic stress at 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Set annual rent against average household income of $66,688 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Court records for this tract carry 8 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2000 at 0.6% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 0.4% in 2001, is well off that peak. Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Bozeman, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, Apollo and Montana State University score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $1,801, close to the Bozeman average.
59% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 5.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gran Cielo vs BozemanHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Gran Cielo
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
8Total filings (sum)
0.47%Avg annual filing rate
0.6%Peak year (2000)
0.35%Latest filed (2001)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gran Cielo
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.4%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
11.3%SNAP enrollment
10.1%No health insurance
29.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Gran Cielo
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Gran Cielo?
Gran Cielo scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Gran Cielo compare to Bozeman overall?
Gran Cielo scores 1.4 points higher than Bozeman overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,801 vs $1,717.
Q3
What is the average rent in Gran Cielo?
Average gross rent in Gran Cielo is $1,801/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Gran Cielo residents are renters?
59% of Gran Cielo households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Bozeman). The neighborhood has 5,352 residents.
Q5
Is Gran Cielo a high social-vulnerability area?
Gran Cielo sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Gran Cielo for landlords?
Gran Cielo carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bozeman as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Gran Cielo?
Gran Cielo has 5,630 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.6%), Hispanic / Latino (8.2%), Other / Multiracial (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
