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Neighborhood · Bozeman, MT

Cattail Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,904 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Cattail Creek maps to a single census tract in Bozeman, MT, population 3,904. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 64% against 30.6% citywide, putting Cattail Creek 33.4% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. At $2,008 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of Bozeman commands.

Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Bozeman, it ranks #6 by risk, the middle third. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $79,082.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cattail Creek vs Bozeman How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.0% +109%
Bozeman: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,008 +17%
Bozeman: $1,717
Average HH income
$79,082 -1%
Bozeman: $79,903
Poverty rate
14.7% -1%
Bozeman: 14.8%
Renter share
66.9% +21%
Bozeman: 55.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cattail Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Cattail Creek scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
14.7% below poverty line · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Cattail Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cattail Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Cattail CreekNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Cattail Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
30031000507 5.2 3,904 64% $2,008
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 22%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cattail Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cattail Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cattail Creek?

Cattail Creek scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cattail Creek compare to Bozeman overall?

Cattail Creek scores 0.7 points higher than Bozeman overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,008 vs $1,717.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cattail Creek?

Average gross rent in Cattail Creek is $2,008/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cattail Creek residents are renters?

67% of Cattail Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in Bozeman). The neighborhood has 3,904 residents.
Q5

Is Cattail Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Cattail Creek sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Cattail Creek for landlords?

Cattail Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bozeman as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Cattail Creek?

Cattail Creek has 4,127 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (89.6%), Hispanic / Latino (5.3%), Other / Multiracial (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cattail Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bozeman

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cattail Creek.

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