Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

South 39th Eviction Risk: Moderate , Missoula

Tract 30063001303 · Missoula County, MT · pop 4,369 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 30063001303 sits in the South 39th area of Missoula eviction risk, MT, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It is home to 4,369 residents. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 19% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units2,020

Renter share37.8%

SVI overall0.35

Poverty rate9.8%

Median income$68,220

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Missoula and the region

Centroid at 46.8334, -114.0284 · click any tract to drill in

Why South 39th scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Missoula

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Montana legislature & governorship

1.7

Economic stress

9.8% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,142 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Missoula

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Missoula

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Missoula

5.5

How South 39th compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
16%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.8%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.0%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
26.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South 39th

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.7/10. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Missoula County average of 38.9%. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Missoula County average of 4.2 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,142, close to the Missoula average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $68,220. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 30063001303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30063001303?

Census tract 30063001303 in the South 39th neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 30063001303?

Median gross rent is $1,142/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 30063001303?

9.8% of residents in tract 30063001303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,369.

How socially vulnerable is tract 30063001303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 31th, minority 16th, housing 61th.

Is tract 30063001303 considered part of South 39th?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30063001303 fall within South 39th (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 30063001303 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 30063001303 compare to Missoula overall?

Tract 30063001303 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Missoula at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Missoula eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Missoula

Top eight tracts in Missoula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.