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Papillion, Nebraska eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,245 of 1,865 nationally

Papillion, NE Eviction Risk: LOW

Sarpy County · Population 25,244

In 2026
Risk score
2.7
LOW

78th percentile, Nebraska.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.1 Average2.4 Now2.7
3.9 2.1 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.1 1978 · score 2.1 1979 · score 2.1 1980 · score 2.1 1981 · score 2.1 1982 · score 2.2 1983 · score 2.2 1984 · score 2.1 1985 · score 2.1 1986 · score 2.1 1987 · score 2.1 1988 · score 2.2 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.1 1991 · score 2.2 1992 · score 2.2 1993 · score 2.2 1994 · score 2.2 1995 · score 2.2 1996 · score 2.2 1997 · score 2.2 1998 · score 2.2 1999 · score 2.2 2000 · score 2.2 2001 · score 2.2 2002 · score 2.2 2003 · score 2.2 2004 · score 2.2 2005 · score 2.2 2006 · score 2.1 2007 · score 2.1 2008 · score 2.5 2009 · score 2.6 2010 · score 2.6 2011 · score 2.6 2012 · score 2.5 2013 · score 2.5 2014 · score 2.4 2015 · score 2.4 2016 · score 2.3 2017 · score 2.4 2018 · score 2.4 2019 · score 2.4 2020 · score 3.7 2021 · score 3.9 2022 · score 3.1 2023 · score 2.8 2024 · score 2.7 2025 · score 2.7 2026 · score 2.7

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.0 Regional 5.0 State 1.8 Economic 3.7 Supply 6.8 Rent Control 4.6 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 6.3 Housing 3.7 2.7 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +11.7% (2024)
    5.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.0
  3. State political climate
    Nebraska legislature & governorship
    1.8
  4. Economic stress
    4.2% poverty · 2.7% unemp.
    3.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,269 average · 26.1% renters
    6.8
  6. Rent Control risk
    26.8% of income on rent
    4.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    27 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    26.1% renters
    6.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Papillion and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Papillion compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Sarpy County
Elevated
#6 of 15 cities
Rank in county, 64th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 15 cities in Sarpy County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Nebraska
Elevated
#170 of 593 cities
Rank in state, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#170 of 593 cities in Nebraska for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Papillion risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Papillion: 2.72.7PapillionThis cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg in countyState: 2.92.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.7
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.7/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 27d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,269/mo. A contested eviction takes 27 days and costs $867–$2,778 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 26.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 25,244 residents, 26.1% rent. 27% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 4.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5 and 5 (GOP margin +11.7% (2024)). State climate at 1.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.8
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 3.7, rent-control risk 4.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.7. Supply constraint: 6.8. The numbers behind those: 4.2% poverty, 2.7% unemployment, 27% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Papillion sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Omaha, NE · 32d · ~$2.0k all-in ($63/day) · score 3.2 Omaha Lincoln, NE · 28d · ~$2.2k all-in ($79/day) · score 3.1 Lincoln Bellevue, NE · 32d · ~$2.1k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.9 Bellevue Grand Island, NE · 29d · ~$2.0k all-in ($71/day) · score 3 Grand Island Des Moines, IA · 41d · ~$2.8k all-in ($68/day) · score 2.6 Des Moines Topeka, KS · 36d · ~$2.5k all-in ($70/day) · score 2.4 Topeka Sioux City, IA · 47d · ~$2.7k all-in ($58/day) · score 2.5 Sioux City Ankeny, IA · 46d · ~$2.5k all-in ($55/day) · score 2.3 Ankeny St. Joseph, MO · 41d · ~$2.3k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.2 St. Joseph West Des Moines, IA · 44d · ~$3.0k all-in ($68/day) · score 2.3 West Des Moines Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Papillion
Papillion · 27d · ~$1.8k all-in ($68/day) · score 2.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Papillion, NE

Landlording in Papillion, Nebraska, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.7/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Papillion is a city of 25,244 residents where 26.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 26.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,269/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Papillion eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Papillion closes 27 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Papillion's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Papillion runs $867 to $2,778 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 27 days of typical timeline and $1,269/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.3/10 in Papillion, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Nebraska, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Papillion: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Nebraska's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $2,778 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Papillion

Trap · 4.2%
Local poverty rate is 4.2%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward moderate volume in Sarpy County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 4.6/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant pays part of the rent after I give them a 7-day notice?

Accepting a partial payment can be tricky. In Nebraska, accepting any rent after giving a notice to quit generally waives your right to evict for the period covered by that notice. If you want to proceed with eviction, do not accept partial payments. If you do accept it, you usually have to issue a new notice if they still owe money or fall behind again.
Q2

Can I change the locks myself if the tenant doesn't move out after the 7-day notice?

Absolutely not. Self-help evictions are illegal in Nebraska. You must follow the court process and obtain an Order of Restitution. Only the Sarpy County Sheriff can physically remove a tenant or oversee a lockout. Changing locks or removing belongings yourself can lead to serious legal trouble, including fines and damages owed to the tenant.
Q3

How strict are Nebraska courts about eviction paperwork?

Courts are very strict. Any error in your notice (wrong amount, incorrect dates), filing, or service can lead to your case being dismissed. This means you have to start all over, costing you more time and money. This is why many landlords opt for an attorney, especially for their first eviction. Our Sarpy County eviction guide has more specifics.
Q4

Can I charge late fees in Papillion?

Yes, you can charge late fees, but they must be reasonable and clearly stated in your lease agreement. Nebraska law doesn't specify a maximum amount, but courts will scrutinize excessive fees. A common standard is 5-10% of the monthly rent. Don't use late fees as a profit center; they are meant to compensate you for the inconvenience of late payment.
Q5

Is there rent control in Papillion or Nebraska?

No, there is no statewide rent control in Nebraska, and Papillion does not have its own rent control ordinances. This means you are generally free to set rent prices and increase them with proper notice, typically 30 days for month-to-month tenancies. However, always check for local changes, though Nebraska's rent control rules have historically been landlord-friendly.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.7/10 places Papillion in the 78th percentile of Nebraska cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.