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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Arcola Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fair Lawn

Tract 34003042500 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 4,284 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 34003042500 sits in the Arcola area of Paramus eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. It is home to 4,284 residents. The voucher gap is 37.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 22% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$104,821

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Arcola
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Fair Lawn
High
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#84 of 203 tracts In Bergen County
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#849 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fair Lawn and the region

Centroid at 40.9250, -74.0731 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arcola scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fair Lawn
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,845 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fair Lawn
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fair Lawn
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fair Lawn
6.1

How Arcola compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arcola risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.4This tracttract 0425006.2Fair Lawnparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 98Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2014)
  • 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34003042500
Filings climbed 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arcola. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arcola

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.7/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $104,821, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 98 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2014 at 4.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bergen Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34003042500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003042500?

Census tract 34003042500 in the Arcola neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34003042500?

Median gross rent is $2,845/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34003042500?

5.5% of residents in tract 34003042500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,284.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34003042500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 86th, minority 72th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 34003042500 considered part of Arcola?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003042500 fall within Arcola (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34003042500?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 98 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 34003042500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.87% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34003042500 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34003042500 compare to Fair Lawn overall?

Tract 34003042500 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Fair Lawn at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fair Lawn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34003042500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fair Lawn

Top eight tracts in Fair Lawn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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