Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Bear's Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ramsey
Tract 34003044201 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 3,691 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
34003044201 is a census tract in the Bear's Cove area of Ramsey, NJ. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,691. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Bergen County average of 46.6%.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate0.3%
Median income$194,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ramsey and the region
Centroid at 41.0513, -74.1342 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bear's Cove scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ramsey
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
0.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ramsey
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ramsey
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ramsey
4.7
How Bear's Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.2%Peak (2013)
- 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 83% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bear's Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 2.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 17.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bear's Cove
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.
SNAP participation runs 2.7% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Bergen County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 10 filings here across 4 tracked years. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2013 at 18.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34003044201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003044201?
Census tract 34003044201 in the Bear's Cove neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 34003044201?
0.3% of residents in tract 34003044201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,691.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 34003044201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 12th, minority 42th, housing 10th.
Q4
Is tract 34003044201 considered part of Bear's Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003044201 fall within Bear's Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34003044201?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34003044201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.03% of renter households, peaking at 18.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34003044201 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34003044201 compare to Ramsey overall?
Tract 34003044201 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Ramsey at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ramsey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ramsey
Top eight tracts in Ramsey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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