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Neighborhood · Ramsey, NJ

Bear's Cove Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,768 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5–5.4

Bear's Cove takes in 2 census tracts of Ramsey, NJ and houses 8,768 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Ramsey rate of 32.9%.

At $1,258 a month, rents sit 44% under what the rest of Ramsey commands. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.1/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

SNAP participation is 3.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 82 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. The worst year on record was 2017, when filings touched 18.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.4% in 2018, is well off that peak.

At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $152,474, annual rent is only 10%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 5.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bear's Cove vs Ramsey How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.9% +70%
Ramsey: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$1,258 -44%
Ramsey: $2,245
Average HH income
$152,474 -7%
Ramsey: $164,767
Poverty rate
2.6% -14%
Ramsey: 3.0%
Renter share
18.1% -13%
Ramsey: 20.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bear's Cove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5–5.4

Why Bear's Cove scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
2.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.5 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Bear's Cove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bear's Cove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Bear's CoveNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bear's Cove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34003044202 5.4 5,077 49% $2,173
34003044201 5 3,691 66% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 11%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bear's Cove

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 82Total filings (sum)
  • 4.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.2%Peak year (2017)
  • 1.46%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bear's Cove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bear's Cove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bear's Cove?

Bear's Cove scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bear's Cove compare to Ramsey overall?

Bear's Cove scores 0.7 points lower than Ramsey overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,258 vs $2,245.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bear's Cove?

Average gross rent in Bear's Cove is $1,258/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bear's Cove residents are renters?

18% of Bear's Cove households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Ramsey). The neighborhood has 8,768 residents.
Q5

Is Bear's Cove a high social-vulnerability area?

Bear's Cove sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bear's Cove have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bear's Cove is census tract 34003044202 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5.4, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Bear's Cove for landlords?

Bear's Cove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ramsey as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bear's Cove?

Bear's Cove has 8,823 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10.1%), Other / Multiracial (8.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bear's Cove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ramsey

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bear's Cove.

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