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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Bear's Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Ramsey

Tract 34003044202 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 5,077 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 34003044202 covers the Bear's Cove neighborhood of Ramsey in New Jersey. Home to 5,077 residents, it scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #14,658 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,173 monthly, set against $122,102 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,153
Renter share25.8%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$122,102

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bear's Cove
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Ramsey
Very High
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#154 of 203 tracts In Bergen County
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#1,797 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ramsey and the region

Centroid at 41.0687, -74.1352 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bear's Cove scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ramsey
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,173 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ramsey
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ramsey
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ramsey
4.7

How Bear's Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bear's Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 044202Ramsey: 7.47.4Ramseyparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 72Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2017)
  • 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340030442022013: 15 filings (3.25/100 renter HHs)2014: 9 filings (1.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)2017: 22 filings (4.69/100 renter HHs)2018: 9 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bear's Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bear's Cove

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ramsey, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bergen County average of 6.3 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 72 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2017.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34003044202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003044202?

Census tract 34003044202 in the Bear's Cove neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34003044202?

Median gross rent is $2,173/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34003044202?

4.3% of residents in tract 34003044202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,077.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34003044202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 51th, minority 31th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 34003044202 considered part of Bear's Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003044202 fall within Bear's Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34003044202?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 72 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 34003044202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.10% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34003044202 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34003044202 compare to Ramsey overall?

Tract 34003044202 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Ramsey at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ramsey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ramsey

Top eight tracts in Ramsey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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