Newark Eviction Risk: High

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. It sits 2.6 points above the Essex County average of 7.3.

Set annual rent against average income of $46,199 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Food insecurity runs 33.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,630 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Newark commands. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Essex County average of 50.3%.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,343 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 41.9% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.