Newark Eviction Risk: High

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Against the Essex County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 31.7% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against Essex County at 50.3%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 2,393 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2018 at 40.4% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.