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Census Tract · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Newark Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013005200 · Essex County, NJ · pop 1,810

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 34013005200 in Newark, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 51%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 15% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units642
Renter share61.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$41,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 88 tracts In Newark
Elevated
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7192, -74.2132 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newark scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,787 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How Newark compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newark risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0052008.5Newarkparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 369Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 21.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak (2013)
  • 63Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34013005200
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newark

Cost burden runs 75% here against 50.3% across Essex County. Annualized rent equals 51% of average household income of $41,667, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Against the Essex County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. Food insecurity runs 38.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,787 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of Newark commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Court records carry 369 eviction filings across 6 observed years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 25.0% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013005200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013005200?

Census tract 34013005200 in Newark scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013005200?

Median gross rent is $1,787/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013005200?

33.4% of residents in tract 34013005200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,810.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013005200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 89th, minority 100th, housing 42th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013005200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 369 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013005200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.93% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013005200 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013005200 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013005200 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 8.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013005200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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