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Census Tract · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Newark Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013004600 · Essex County, NJ · pop 3,746

Census tract 34013004600 covers part of Newark, NJ, and scores 9.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,746. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 35% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,397
Renter share78.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$45,960

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 88 tracts In Newark
Elevated
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newark and the region

Centroid at 40.7098, -74.2158 · click any tract to drill in

Why Newark scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,472 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0

How Newark compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Newark risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.9This tracttract 0046008.5Newarkparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,603Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 34.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.7%Peak (2013)
  • 280Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34013004600
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Newark

SNAP participation runs 40.1% against 15.2% nationally. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

It sits 2.6 points above the Essex County average of 7.3. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $45,960, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Essex County average of 50.3%.

The filing record is not thin: 1,603 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 37.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Essex Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 34.7% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013004600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013004600?

Census tract 34013004600 in Newark scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013004600?

Median gross rent is $1,472/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013004600?

28.3% of residents in tract 34013004600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,746.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013004600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 69th, minority 97th, housing 56th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013004600?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,603 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013004600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.71% of renter households, peaking at 37.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013004600 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013004600 compare to Newark overall?

Tract 34013004600 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 8.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013004600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newark

Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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