Newark Eviction Risk: High

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. It sits 2.6 points above the Essex County average of 7.3. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $41,359, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. SNAP participation runs 34.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 33.1% against 14.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 60% here against 50.3% across Essex County. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 734 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2017 at 18.5% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Essex Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 20.4% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.