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Census Tract · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

East Orange Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013010400 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,447

Census tract 34013010400 covers part of East Orange, NJ, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 36% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,256
Renter share76.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$47,190

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 19 tracts In East Orange
High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#78 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#210 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#4,622 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Orange and the region

Centroid at 40.7719, -74.2103 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Orange scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,404 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1

How East Orange compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Orange risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.8This tracttract 0104007.4East Orangeparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,696Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 42.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 47.4%Peak (2013)
  • 733Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34013010400
Filings dropped 20% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Orange

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Food insecurity runs 36.3% against 17.8% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $47,190 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 29.5% against 14.2% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Essex County average of 7.3.

The filing record is not thin: 4,696 evictions over 6 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 47.4% of renter households.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Essex Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013010400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013010400?

Census tract 34013010400 in East Orange scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013010400?

Median gross rent is $1,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013010400?

29.9% of residents in tract 34013010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,447.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013010400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 42th, minority 99th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013010400?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 4,696 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013010400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 42.46% of renter households, peaking at 47.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013010400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013010400 compare to East Orange overall?

Tract 34013010400 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of East Orange at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013010400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Orange

Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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