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Census Tract · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

East Orange Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013011200 · Essex County, NJ · pop 2,834

34013011200 is a census tract in East Orange, NJ. It scores 8.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,834. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 34% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,311
Renter share74.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$60,059

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 19 tracts In East Orange
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Elevated
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#297 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,730 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Orange and the region

Centroid at 40.7598, -74.2160 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Orange scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,233 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1

How East Orange compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Orange risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 0112007.4East Orangeparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,219Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 35.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.6%Peak (2013)
  • 366Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34013011200
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Orange

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

This is renter territory: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Essex County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 2,219 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

At $1,233 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of East Orange commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation runs 22.7% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 37.6% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 35.2% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #5,730 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013011200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013011200?

Census tract 34013011200 in East Orange scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013011200?

Median gross rent is $1,233/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013011200?

19.3% of residents in tract 34013011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,834.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013011200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 72th, minority 95th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013011200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2,219 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.25% of renter households, peaking at 37.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013011200 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013011200 compare to East Orange overall?

Tract 34013011200 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of East Orange at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013011200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Orange

Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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