Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

East Orange Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34013011200 · Essex County, NJ · pop 2,834

Tract 34013011200 covers East Orange in Essex County in New Jersey. Home to 2,834 residents, it scores 7.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #910 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,233 a month against an average household income of $60,059 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 34% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,311
Renter share74.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$60,059

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 19 tracts In East Orange
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#73 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
National
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2,438 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Orange and the region

Centroid at 40.7598, -74.2160 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Orange scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,233 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1

How East Orange compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Orange risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 011200East Orange: 8.38.3East Orangeparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,219Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 35.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.6%Peak (2013)
  • 366Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130112002013: 406 filings (37.56/100 renter HHs)2014: 385 filings (35.62/100 renter HHs)2015: 329 filings (30.43/100 renter HHs)2016: 377 filings (37.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 356 filings (34.94/100 renter HHs)2018: 366 filings (35.92/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Orange

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Orange eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013011200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013011200?

Census tract 34013011200 in East Orange scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013011200?

Median gross rent is $1,233/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013011200?

19.3% of residents in tract 34013011200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,834.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013011200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 72th, minority 95th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013011200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2,219 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013011200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.25% of renter households, peaking at 37.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013011200 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013011200 compare to East Orange overall?

Tract 34013011200 scores 7.8/10, lower than the parent city of East Orange at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013011200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Orange

Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related