Jersey City Eviction Risk: High

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.7 points above the Hudson County average of 7.7. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hudson County average of 46.5%.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Food insecurity runs 30.6% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 22.9% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 650 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 17.9% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.