Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,922 of 84,120 nationally
McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City
Tract 34017002700 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 5,879 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 34017002700 covers part of the McGinley Square area of Jersey City, NJ, and scores 9.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,879 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate31.5%
Median income$51,163
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jersey City and the region
Centroid at 40.7314, -74.0786 · click any tract to drill in
Why McGinley Square scores 9.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
31.5% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,551 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
How McGinley Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 693Total filings over 4 yrs
- 14.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.3%Peak (2014)
- 163Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.3%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 25.8%SNAP enrollment
- 16.4%Transit barriers
- 19.5%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square
Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $51,163, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 34.4% against 17.8% nationally.
The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. At $1,551 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Jersey City commands. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 693 filings here across 4 tracked years.
about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hudson County average of 46.5%. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.5% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 16.3% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017002700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017002700?
Census tract 34017002700 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 9.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017002700?
Median gross rent is $1,551/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017002700?
31.5% of residents in tract 34017002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,879.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017002700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 95th, minority 84th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 34017002700 considered part of McGinley Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017002700 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017002700?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 693 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.77% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017002700 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017002700 compare to Jersey City overall?
Tract 34017002700 scores 9.4/10, higher than the parent city of Jersey City at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017002700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City
Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34017005500
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Hilltop
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017005801
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
The Heights
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
McGinley Square
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34017006000
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
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